Agentiq’s valuation and projection team includes former MLB front-office executives and data scientists. The team has developed a proprietary AI/ML model to estimate a player’s range of potential career outcomes, likelihood of future success, and projected earnings. The model informs professional judgment; it does not determine outcomes with certainty.
Who builds and reviews the projections
Former MLB front-office experience informs how Agentiq selects data, compares players, evaluates development, interprets advanced statistics, and tests whether model outputs make sense in a real sports context. Data science and financial analysis are used to translate those sports projections into modeled career and earnings scenarios.
The process combines:
proprietary AI/ML modeling;
more than 100 quantitative and qualitative variables;
sport-, league-, position-, and career-stage context;
scenario analysis and Monte Carlo simulation; and
review by professionals applying sports, data, business, and financial judgment.
What the model evaluates
The exact inputs and their importance vary by athlete, sport, position, career stage, and available data. Representative variables may include:
age, position, and expected career duration;
historical, recent, and trend-adjusted performance;
advanced analytics and position-specific statistics;
playing time, role, usage, roster status, and opportunity;
availability, durability, injuries, and recovery uncertainty;
development trajectory and modeled upside and downside ranges;
contract status, compensation structure, service time, and comparable players;
team quality, depth chart, coaching, league, and competitive environment;
market, media, sponsorship, and salary-cap conditions; and
other sport-specific, financial, legal, and reputational considerations.
No single factor determines a projection. Age or a recent performance change may materially affect some athletes while carrying less weight for others.
How projections are produced
1. Collect and normalize data
The team assembles available performance, contract, biographical, health, role, and market information. Data is reviewed and normalized so that comparisons account for differences in era, league, level of competition, position, opportunity, and other relevant context.
2. Model player success and career paths
The proprietary AI/ML model identifies patterns and relationships across the available inputs and estimates a range of potential future performance and career outcomes. “Upside” is treated as one modeled scenario within a broader range—not as an expected or promised result.
3. Run financial scenarios
Performance and career scenarios are translated into potential contract and earnings paths. Monte Carlo simulation is used to run many possible paths rather than relying on one point forecast. The resulting distribution may be used to identify a midpoint or other central estimate.
4. Apply professional review
The team reviews outputs for data quality, unusual assumptions, comparable-player context, and sport-specific considerations. Human review may adjust assumptions or require additional diligence, but it cannot remove uncertainty.
How projections relate to valuation and pricing
Projected career and financial outcomes may be discounted back to present value as part of a modeled player net present value, or NPV. Player NPV is only one input to an offering analysis; it is not automatically the value of a Series or a Unit.
The initial Unit price also depends on the applicable Series structure, Brand Advisory Agreement and defined Brand Amounts, Unit terms, offering expenses, fees, reserves, conflicts, and other matters disclosed in the Offering Circular. The Offering Circular states the final offering price and its basis and controls over this Help Center summary.
Important limitations
Any projection, scenario, valuation assumption, or estimate is forward-looking and inherently uncertain. Models depend on data and assumptions that may be incomplete, delayed, inaccurate, or overtaken by injuries, performance changes, contracts, career events, market conditions, legal developments, and other factors.
Do not treat the proprietary model, an upside scenario, a midpoint estimate, or professional experience as a guarantee of player success, Brand Amounts, distributions, appreciation, liquidity, returns, or repayment of principal. SEC qualification is not approval, recommendation, endorsement, verification of a projection or valuation, or a suitability determination.
Review the complete applicable Offering Circular, including its methodology, assumptions, conflicts, risk factors, and forward-looking-statement caution. Investors may lose their entire investment.
